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    The History of Probability

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    Probability, chance and randomness have been around since the ancient days. They could be found in fortune telling, games of chance, philosophy, law, insurance, and errors of prediction in astronomy and medicine (Hald, 1990).

    In about 1200 B.C., an ancient game was played with four astragali (heel bones of hooved animals). They would grind down the bone into a rough, cube like shape and then make small depressions of various numbers. This is where the idea of the pips, the dots on the dice, we use today came from.

    They placed high value on a certain throw and other outcomes had smaller probabilities.

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    In early A.D., the Romans really enjoyed dice. Emperor Claudius is said to have had a table installed into his carriage so he could play dice while he was being driven around. He also wrote a book titled, .

    Why then did no one invent probability earlier? It was because most people did not believe in randomness. An